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Thursday, March 5, 2026

2027: Debunking the Myth of Ilorin’s “Two-Son Dilemma”

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By Alpha Jimoh

As conversations around the 2027 governorship election in Kwara State slowly gather momentum, a curious narrative has begun to circulate: that the Ilorin Emirate faces a difficult political dilemma because two of its prominent sons may eventually contest the same office from different political platforms.
It is an argument that sounds dramatic at first hearing. But on closer examination, it appears more like an oversimplification of a far more complex political landscape.

The claim essentially suggests that the Ilorin Emirate could find itself emotionally torn between Senator Saliu Mustapha of the ruling APC and Engr. Suleiman Bolakale Kawu of the PDP, two respected sons of the Emirate whose names are increasingly mentioned in conversations about the 2027 race.

Both men undoubtedly command respect. Both are known within the Emirate’s social and political circles, and both have built reputations through public service and philanthropy. But reducing the political future of Kwara State—or even that of Ilorin Emirate itself—to a supposed clash between just two personalities stretches the argument beyond what the political reality supports.

Kwara politics has never been that narrow.
If anything, the attempt to frame the coming contest as a “two sons” dilemma ignores the fact that the Ilorin Emirate has historically produced multiple political actors at the same time, many of whom have competed vigorously within and across political parties without turning such contests into communal crises.

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For instance, where does one situate the political weight of Yahaya Seriki, the Ajia Balogun of Ilorin and a well-known grassroots mobiliser within the APC? How should the experience of Moshood Mustapha, a former federal lawmaker with longstanding involvement in Kwara’s political evolution, be placed within this conversation? And what of Ali Ahmad, whose tenure as Speaker of the Kwara State House of Assembly positioned him as a notable figure in the state’s legislative and political landscape?

These are all Ilorin sons with recognisable political structures, influence and ambitions of their own. Their existence alone complicates the simplistic narrative that the Emirate is about to be forced into choosing between only two options.

Beyond these names skirting the race as it were, there are also persistent whispers within political circles about additional aspirants—some respected technocrats and political actors from Ilorin—who may yet enter the race as the political season unfolds. In contests of this nature, so-called dark horses are never entirely out of the equation. They often emerge quietly before suddenly reshaping the dynamics of the race.

Seen in this broader context, the notion of a tidy “two-man dilemma” begins to look less like serious political analysis and more like an overly convenient storyline.

More fundamentally, the argument rests on another questionable assumption: that Ilorin must always act as a single political bloc. That idea is historically inaccurate.

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Even during the era of the late political titan Olusola Saraki, political competition among Ilorin sons was not uncommon. The Emirate’s political vitality has never depended on rigid unanimity but on its ability to produce leaders capable of contesting power while maintaining communal cohesion.

In other words, Ilorin’s strength has never been the absence of rivalry. It has been the ability to manage rivalry without allowing it to degenerate into lasting division.
Democracy, after all, is designed to accommodate ambition. It is not a coronation ceremony where communities anoint a single candidate and expect the rest of the electorate to simply endorse the choice.

Equally important is the fact that the governorship of Kwara State is not decided in Ilorin alone. While Kwara Central remains politically influential, the electoral arithmetic of the state requires candidates to build meaningful alliances across Kwara North and Kwara South. No aspirant, regardless of stature within Ilorin, can realistically aspire to win the governorship without cultivating broad statewide appeal.

This is why the “Ilorin dilemma” narrative tends to shrink a statewide democratic contest into what appears to be a family discussion within the Emirate.

The reality is far more expansive.
Rather than signalling division, the emergence of multiple credible aspirants from Ilorin should be seen as evidence of the Emirate’s continuing relevance in the political life of Kwara State. It demonstrates that the community remains a fertile ground for leadership and public service.

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If every instance of political ambition among Ilorin sons were interpreted as a communal crisis, the Emirate’s political system would long ago have collapsed under the weight of internal rivalry. Yet history shows the opposite. Ilorin has repeatedly navigated intense political competition while preserving its cultural cohesion and social stability.

This resilience reflects a deeper understanding within the community: politics may be fiercely contested, but it is ultimately transient. The bonds of heritage, tradition and shared identity endure far beyond any electoral cycle.

When the contours of the 2027 governorship race eventually become clearer, it will almost certainly not resemble a duel between two titled sons of Ilorin. It will instead evolve into a broader statewide contest shaped by party structures, regional alliances, policy debates and the choices of voters across Kwara’s three senatorial districts.

To portray Ilorin Emirate as a fragile community incapable of managing political competition among its own sons is to underestimate both its history and its political maturity.

Far from being trapped in a dilemma, Ilorin Emirate is doing what politically vibrant societies naturally do—producing leaders, encouraging democratic participation and leaving the final verdict to the electorate.
And that is not a problem to be solved. It is simply democracy at work.

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