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Sunday, March 8, 2026

Finally Nigerian Economy Crawls Out of Recession, Grows Strongly

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After ten solid months of meandering in recession, the Nigerian economy  has finally sluggishly pulled itself up out of the economic conundrum it found itself.

According to data supplied by Sales Managers’ Index (SMI), April SMI data suggests that the economy is continuing to grow out of the recession.

The recession saw 10 months of consecutive contraction in 2016. 

However, Market Growth Index was seen at its highest level in over a year while monthly sales pick up sharply in April.

Also, the data shows that the rate of price inflation remains substantial but continues to moderate.

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The Market Growth Index grew to 58.5 in April as the monthly Sales Growth Index ticked up to 56.7, its highest value since 2015 and representative of rapid growth. 

Price inflation for April, which is tracked by the Prices Charged Index, remained high at 58.7 – indicative of high levels of inflation.

However, a slowing trend has developed for the past 9 months. 

Panelists have explained that although conditions remain difficult for businesses, they are adapting to the challenges and the recent changes to the Naira’s FX rate are aiding sales transactions. 

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Overall, conditions in Nigeria have improved further over the past month and managers are expressing renewed optimism that the economy will continue to grow and regain strength after the recession.

The Sales Managers Index provides the earliest monthly data on the speed and direction of Nigerian economic activity.

KEY ADVANTAGES OF THE NIGERIA SMI:

The SMI provides the first indication each month of the speed and direction of economic growth in Nigeria .

The SMI provides the most complete indication of growth, covering all private sector activity.

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The SMI is based on a key occupational group – uniquely able to sense changes in business activity levels.

The SMI is composite index of business confidence, market growth, sales, prices charged and staffing levels.

The SMI is a diffusion index, any index value above 50 indicates growth and below 50 indicates contraction.

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