2024 is “certain” to be the hottest year on record – E. U. climate monitor

European Union (E. U.) climate monitor established that 2024 is “effectively certain” to be the hottest year on record and the first to surpass the 1.5 degree Celsius (2.7F) climate benchmark.

According to source, this is a crucial cutoff point to prevent the planet from catastrophically warming.

This year will undoubtedly surpass 2023 as the warmest year yet, according to the Copernicus Climate Change Service.

The Copernicus Climate Change Service announced on Monday that an unheard-before period of extreme heat had driven average world temperatures so high between January and November.

The E. U. agency said in its monthly bulletin: “At this point, it is effectively certain that 2024 is going to be the warmest year on record”.

Copernicus’ climate computations are aided by billions of readings from weather stations, ships, airplanes, and satellites.

Although its records date back to 1940, scientists can extend their findings by utilizing evidence from many earlier periods.

This, source attributed to other sources of climate data, including ice cores, tree rings, and coral skeletons.

According to scientists, the current epoch is probably the warmest the world has experienced in the previous 125,000 years.

After November 2023, last month was the second-warmest November on record.

According to the country’s meteorological bureau, Portugal had its hottest November ever on Thursday, with an average air temperature 2.69C (4.84F) higher than the 1981–2010 normal.

Temperature above crucial 1.5C threshold

Another sobering milestone as stated by scientists, is that 2024 will be the first year that temperatures are more than 1.5C warmer than they were before humans began using a lot of fossil fuels.

The international community decided to work toward keeping warming to this safer threshold as part of the Paris Climate Accord after scientists warned that a temperature increase of more than 1.5C over several decades would seriously endanger the planet.

However, the world is far from reaching the 1.5C goal, source says.

A catastrophic rise of 3.1C (5.6F) was predicted by the UN in October if climate action continues in its current trajectory.

The primary source of climate change is carbon dioxide emissions from the burning of fossil fuels.

Despite an international commitment to shift the world away from coal, oil, and gas, emissions from fossil fuels continue to rise.

Even at current levels, scientists warn climate change is having an impact and increasing the frequency and intensity of extreme weather occurrences.

This year, South America had severe drought and wildfires, devastating tropical storms in the Philippines and the United States, and deadly flooding in Spain and Kenya.

Rich nations pledged $300 billion a year by 2035 during the UN climate negotiations in November, a sum that was criticized as dreadfully insufficient.

Earlier on Climate change

Rich nations’ promise to help the poorest nations most impacted by climate change was raised by the European Union (E. U.) on Saturday to $300 billion a year.

This is reportedly an attempt to salvage negotiations that the developing world feared were on the verge of breaking down.

A second day was added to the two-week UN climate talks.

And in a windowless sports stadium in Baku, a city by the Caspian Sea, negotiators worked through the night to find an agreement.

In what is predicted to be the hottest year on record, developing nations grappling with increased drought and other calamities on Friday turned down an early offer of $250 billion by 2035.

Developing nations that are suffering from increasing drought and other disasters in the hottest year on record resoundingly rejected an initial offer of $250 billion annually by 2035 on Friday.

Two negotiators say the EU is putting pressure on rich countries to raise the figure to $300 billion.

The US, UK, and Japan are included in this.

Other parts of the broader climate deal under discussion at the COP29 session in Azerbaijan, the negotiators warned, were subject to limitations.

Europeans, in particular, want an annual review of global efforts to phase out fossil fuels, which are the main source of global warming.

In an effort to undermine a historic pledge made at COP28 last year to shift away from coal, gas, and oil, Saudi Arabia has objected to this.

Irish Environment Minister Eamon Ryan said he was “hopeful” for a deal.

Ryan revealed that when a new text is expected later in the day, a clearer picture will emerge.

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