Israel Vows ‘Stronger Response’ After Shooting Down Iranian Drones And Missiles

Ninety-nine percent of Iran’s missiles and drones that were fired overnight, according to the Israeli military, were intercepted without hitting their targets. Iran claimed that the bombing was retaliation for a two-week-ago, fatal attack on its diplomatic complex in Syria.What happens next will mostly depend on Israel’s decision of how to react to the strike that occurred last night.

Remain cautious has been advised by nations in the area and beyond, including those that strongly detest the Iranian government.

Iran’s response goes something like this: “Account settled, that is the end of the matter, do not hit back at us or we will mount a much stronger attack against you that you will not be able to ward off.”

However, Israel’s administration has frequently been referred to as one of the most rigid in Israeli history, and it has already promised “a significant response”.

It spent the following six months hammering the Gaza Strip after reacting within hours to the deadly attacks on southern Israel, spearheaded by Hamas, on October 7.

Though the impact of this direct attack from Iran has been measured and limited, Israel’s war cabinet is unlikely to remain silent.

What choices does Israel then have?
It might pay attention to its neighbors and display what is referred to as “strategic patience” by refraining from retaliating in kind and instead carrying out its long-standing strategy of targeting Iran’s proxy supporters in the area, such as Hezbollah in Lebanon or military supply depots in Syria.

Israel might execute a series of comparable, precisely timed, long-range missile strikes in retaliation, focusing solely on the missile facilities from where Iran launched its attack yesterday night.

Iran would still view that as an escalation because it would be Israel’s first direct attack on Iran as opposed to targeting its proxy forces in the area.Alternatively, Israel may decide to go up a notch on the escalator by expanding the scope of its potential reaction to encompass bases, training facilities, and command and control centers owned by Iran’s potent Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC). Any of the last two choices run the risk of inciting more Iranian reprisals.

The crucial question at hand is if all of this draws in the US and sparks a full-scale gunfight between Iranian and US personnel in the area.

The United States maintains military installations in Syria, Iraq, Jordan, and all of the Gulf Arab states.

These could all end up becoming targets for Iran’s enormous arsenal of ballistic and other missiles, which it has amassed over time in defiance of international sanctions.

Iran might also attempt to blockade the strategically important Strait of Hormuz by using mines, drones, and quick attack craft, as it has long promised to do in the event of an attack. This would cut off about 25% of the world’s oil supply.

Many governments are currently frantically trying to prevent this nightmare scenario, which would include drawing the US and the Gulf states into a regional conflict.

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