LONDON, ENGLAND — The Opta supercomputer has delivered its match predictions ahead of the latest weekend of the 2026-27 Premier League season.
The table is beginning to take shape, with a new leader at the top. Arsenal’s 1-0 victory over Liverpool, coupled with Manchester City’s 1-0 loss to Brighton, saw the reigning champions leapfrog Enzo Maresca’s side last weekend.
The Seagulls are keeping the pressure on the top two. Chelsea also got back to winning ways against Manchester United to move into the top four.
At the other end of the table, United are perched precariously above the relegation zone. But they got some much-needed relief in the Champions League in midweek, fighting back to beat Roma and halt their nine-game winless streak.
Aston Villa await them next in the Premier League. Matchday 10 sees fixtures take place on Friday, Saturday, and Sunday ahead of the upcoming international break.
Everton vs Coventry City
The action begins on Friday at Hill Dickinson Stadium. Everton and Coventry City are both looking to build on wins last time out.
This will be the first meeting between the sides since January 2001. The supercomputer is forecasting another Everton win, with David Moyes’ side coming out on top in 55.9% of simulations, compared to Coventry’s 21.3%.
Leeds United vs Tottenham
On Saturday, a rejuvenated Tottenham are looking to stretch their winning streak to four games when they travel to Leeds United.
Spurs have not won four consecutive Premier League games since 2023. The supercomputer expects Leeds to hold a 41.7% chance of victory, while Spurs have a 31.6% win likelihood.
Arsenal vs Hull City
Arsenal are back on top of the Premier League table heading into MD10. At 76.9%, they are the likeliest victors of the weekend.
They face a Hull City side who are winless in their last seven league games. There is a 13.8% chance of a stalemate here, which would be Arsenal’s first of the campaign.
Fulham vs Newcastle United
Newcastle United have struggled lately, suffering consecutive losses to Everton. But Matthias Jaissle will be determined to put that right at Fulham.
Fulham have won three of their last four Premier League games against Newcastle. At 26.7%, this is one of the most-likely draws on MD10.
Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City
Back-to-back losses for Manchester City have seen them slip to second. But Maresca’s men will be confident of overcoming a struggling Nottingham Forest side.
With a 50.9% chance of victory, City are the likeliest away winners on MD10.
Brighton vs Brentford
On Sunday, high-flying Brighton will be looking to keep the pressure on the top two when they face Brentford.
Brighton haven’t lost to Brentford at the Amex Stadium. The supercomputer is backing them to continue that run, assigning them a 54.8% win probability.
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool
Pierre Sage is under increasing pressure at Crystal Palace, who will be desperate to get out of the relegation zone.
Liverpool have won three of their four away Premier League games in 2026-27. Their 49% chance of victory isn’t hugely surprising.
Ipswich Town vs Bournemouth
Bournemouth are on an upward trajectory after winning each of their last three league games.
Bournemouth haven’t lost on any of their four league visits to Portman Road. There is a 25.3% chance of another draw here.
Sunderland vs Chelsea
Sunderland have struggled to hit the heights of last season. The Black Cats now sit bottom of the table after nine games.
The Blues are expected to prevail, winning 43.7% of the pre-match simulations.
Manchester United vs Aston Villa
The weekend finishes at Old Trafford. Manchester United are looking to build on their midweek Champions League defeat of Roma against Aston Villa.
Though Michael Carrick is still under severe pressure, United may have earned him a little longer at the helm. The supercomputer has struggled to split them, but United are slight favourites to end their seven-game winless streak.
