Analysis
Regime Change or Drug War? Trump’s Dangerous Gamble in Venezuela

The Caribbean is heating up and not because of the weather. Over the past few weeks, President Donald Trump has quietly moved one of the world’s most powerful war machines closer to Venezuela.
Officially, the White House says it’s about fighting drug trafficking. But anyone watching closely knows this is about something bigger pressure, power, and politics.
The USS Gerald R. Ford, the world’s largest aircraft carrier, is now sailing toward the Caribbean with a full strike group.
The Pentagon says it’s part of a campaign to “dismantle transnational criminal organizations” and fight “narco-terrorism.”
But behind those words lies a different story one that smells more like regime change than law enforcement.
The “War on Drugs” Excuse
For decades, Washington has used the “war on drugs” to justify military moves in Latin America. Yet, according to the U.S. Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA), Venezuela isn’t even a major drug producer.
Most cocaine comes from Colombia; most fentanyl flows through Mexico. So, sending an aircraft carrier thousands of miles from Europe to the Caribbean to fight drug cartels just doesn’t add up.
This is why many observers believe Trump’s real target isn’t drugs it’s Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro. For years, Trump has called Maduro a “dictator” and promised to see him “gone.”
Now, with U.S. destroyers, stealth jets, and surveillance drones patrolling nearby waters, it’s hard not to see this as part of that plan.
“This isn’t about narcotics,” says Dr. Christopher Sabatini of Chatham House. “It’s about intimidation a show of force to remind Maduro who’s boss.”
A Familiar Playbook
For people who remember history, this playbook feels familiar.
The United States has a long track record of getting involved in Latin American politics from Guatemala in the 1950s to Chile in the 1970s.
Each time, Washington claimed to be defending democracy or stopping communism. Each time, it left behind chaos.
Now, under Trump’s America First banner, the U.S. seems to be reaching for the same old tools military pressure, intelligence operations, and economic threats.
The CIA is said to have returned quietly to the region, supposedly gathering information on Maduro’s network.
But anyone who knows the history of U.S. covert actions in Latin America will hear alarm bells ringing.
A Price on Maduro’s Head
To make things even more dramatic, Trump’s team recently raised the bounty on Nicolás Maduro’s arrest to $50 million.
It sounds bold, even cinematic, but it’s not likely to work. Maduro’s circle has far more to lose than to gain from betrayal.
His allies are tied to oil revenues, smuggling rings, and government contracts.
Money from Washington won’t buy their loyalty not when their power and survival depend on staying close to him.
“Fifty million dollars is pocket change compared to what Maduro’s people control,” says Venezuelan lawyer and scholar José Ignacio Hernández.
Politics Behind the Power
It’s impossible to ignore the political timing. Trump’s military posturing in the Caribbean comes just as he faces criticism at home and gears up for another tough election season.
Showing strength abroad especially in America’s “backyard” plays well with his base. It makes him look decisive and tough, the kind of leader who doesn’t blink.
But the risks are real. A single misstep one wrong move in those crowded waters could ignite a crisis. And for Latin American nations already wary of U.S. influence, this buildup feels like déjà vu. Leaders across the region are already calling it “imperialist aggression.”
The Real Message
Trump recently announced that U.S. forces had destroyed a boat carrying “fentanyl” in the Caribbean.
But experts say that’s highly unlikely. Fentanyl doesn’t come from Venezuela. It comes from Asia and Mexico.
The announcement, critics say, was less about facts and more about sending a message to voters at home and to Maduro in Caracas.
At its core, this operation is about projecting dominance. It’s not a war on drugs. It’s a show of power a warning shot aimed at anyone who challenges American authority in the Western Hemisphere.
Whether or not the U.S. actually intends to strike Venezuela, this buildup tells the world something important: Washington is once again willing to use its military might to shape politics in its neighborhood.
And that, more than any drug bust or cartel raid, is what makes this moment so unsettling.
Because in the end, this isn’t about protecting America’s borders. It’s about protecting Trump’s image and reminding the world that U.S. power still speaks louder than diplomacy.
Analysis
Ten instances of misinformation in Nnamdi Kanu’s case (Part 2)
By Emeka Ugwuonye
6. Did the Court of Appeal decide that Kanu should not be tried for treasonable felony?
ANSWER: Not quite. While the Court of Appeal made a ruling regarding Kanu’s trial, that judgment was subsequently appealed to the Supreme Court, which reversed the Court of Appeal’s decision. As a result, the findings of the Court of Appeal have become irrelevant.
Currently, the law is defined by the judgment of the Supreme Court, which takes precedence over any previous appellate rulings. This means that Kanu can indeed be tried for treasonable felony, as the Supreme Court has upheld the charges against him. In legal terms, the most recent and authoritative ruling is what matters, and at this moment, that ruling supports the continuation of Kanu’s trial for the offenses he faces. It’s essential to recognize that legal outcomes are shaped by the highest court’s decisions, not by earlier judgments that have been overturned.
7. Should the judge have explained to him all these things when he asked the judge that question in court?
ANSWER: No, the judge should not have provided that explanation. Doing so would have amounted to the judge offering the kind of assistance that is typically provided by legal counsel. Nnamdi Kanu made the choice to represent himself, which means he cannot expect the judge to clarify or elaborate on legal matters outside the established rules of the court.
Moreover, Kanu’s question was posed in the context of his challenge to the court’s jurisdiction. This issue will be addressed in the court’s forthcoming judgment, and it would be inappropriate for the court to divulge information that pertains to a decision that has yet to be rendered. Judges must maintain impartiality and adhere to proper judicial protocol. Providing guidance or clarity on legal questions during court proceedings could compromise that impartiality and undermine the integrity of the judicial process.
In summary, it is essential for defendants to seek clarification and understanding from their legal counsel rather than from the judge. The legal system is designed to ensure that each party is responsible for navigating it according to established procedures and rules. By choosing to represent himself, Kanu has placed himself in a position where he must rely on his own understanding of the law, and the court must remain neutral, providing a level playing field for all parties involved.
8. What is the implication of Nnamdi Kanu representing himself?
ANSWER: Representing himself is arguably the gravest mistake Nnamdi Kanu could make. While he has the legal right to defend himself, this is a right that no reasonable person should choose to exercise in a complex legal battle. It’s akin to firing your doctor and attempting to perform an appendectomy on yourself—an act fraught with peril and devoid of sound judgment.
Self-representation in legal proceedings can lead to disastrous consequences, as it places the individual at a significant disadvantage. The law is intricate, filled with procedural rules and nuanced arguments that require expert knowledge and experience to navigate effectively. By opting to represent himself, Kanu risks undermining his defense and jeopardizing his position in court.
Furthermore, there appears to be an inclination for Kanu to enjoy the spotlight and assert his voice, but that desire should not override practical legal considerations. The courtroom is not a forum for personal expression but a formal setting where skilled attorneys utilize their expertise to advocate for their clients’ best interests. By eschewing professional legal representation, Kanu not only diminishes his chances for a favorable outcome but also engages in a self-defeating strategy that could have serious ramifications for his case.
In summary, while the choice to represent oneself is protected under the law, it is rarely a wise decision—especially in a high-stakes legal environment like the one Kanu finds himself in. Professional legal representation is crucial for ensuring that rights are upheld and justice is pursued effectively. Ignoring this reality is a significant miscalculation that Kanu may come to regret.
9. What is the implication of him refusing to present his defense?
ANSWER: Initially, I considered the possibility that his decision might be a strategic one. However, it has become clear that this refusal to present a defense is a significant miscalculation. By not offering a defense, Nnamdi Kanu leaves himself completely vulnerable, providing no counterarguments against the allegations and evidence brought forth by the prosecution. As a result, the prosecution has a clear path to victory.
Without any defense to challenge the prosecution’s case, the court is effectively compelled to convict him. The legal principle at play is that the court has already established that the prosecution has presented a prima facie case—which means they have provided sufficient evidence for the case to proceed. Kanu’s failure to defend himself means that he is allowing the prosecution’s arguments to stand unopposed.
This situation puts Kanu at a serious disadvantage and effectively undermines any chance he had of achieving a favorable outcome. When a defendant does not testify or present evidence in their favor, the court is left with only the prosecution’s narrative, increasing the likelihood of a conviction. It is crucial in any legal proceeding for a defendant to engage actively in their defense, as neglecting to do so can lead to a self-inflicted defeat.
10. Can Kanu be tried in Nigeria for broadcasts he made outside Nigeria?
ANSWER: Yes, Kanu can indeed be tried in Nigeria for statements made outside the country. The law takes into account the location where the effects of an action occur, rather than where that action was carried out. A person can commit treasonable felonies or incitement from abroad, especially if the incitement has the potential to impact individuals or events in Nigeria.
The crucial factor is where the individuals being incited are located or where the unlawful act is intended to be executed. This principle underlines the legal precedent that holds individuals accountable for their words and actions, regardless of their physical location at the time.
Moreover, the Terrorism Prevention Amendment Act of 2013 was specifically amended to extend its reach beyond Nigeria’s borders, allowing for the prosecution of offenses committed outside the country if they have implications within Nigeria. This means that Kanu’s statements from abroad could fall under the jurisdiction of Nigerian law, especially if they are perceived to incite unlawful activities or threaten national security.
In summary, Kanu’s geographical location does not absolve him from accountability under Nigerian law. He can be prosecuted for his statements made outside Nigeria as long as those statements have consequences within the country. This legal framework emphasizes the importance of holding individuals accountable for their actions, irrespective of where those actions are conducted.
Analysis
Ten instances of misinformation in Nnamdi Kanu’s case (Part one)
By Emeka Ugwuonye
There has been so many false information flying around about the case of Nnamadi Kanu. Unfortunately, many people are believing such false claims and are actually relying on them. Hence, I will identify 24 such false claims and debunk them.
1. Was the Terrorism Prevention Amendment Act, 2013 ever repealed?
ANSWER: No, the Terrorism Prevention Amendment Act of 2013 has not been repealed. The Act was an amendment to the original Terrorism (Prevention) Act of 2011 and introduced important changes, including provisions for extra-territorial application of the law and enhancements related to terrorist financing offenses.
2. Did the Nigerian Supreme Court rule that Nnamdi Kanu cannot be tried under the Terrorism Act?
ANSWER: The Nigerian Supreme Court did not explicitly rule that Nnamdi Kanu cannot be tried under the Terrorism Act. In October 2022, the Supreme Court of Nigeria dismissed the appeal filed by Kanu challenging the charge of terrorism against him, stating that his initial issue regarding jurisdiction was not substantiated, and the lower courts had the right to adjudicate the case. The court effectively upheld the earlier decisions that allowed for Kanu’s trial to proceed.
3. Is it true that Nnamdi Kanu is not being tried under a written law as the Constitution requires?
ANSWER: All the seven counts proffered against Nnamdi Kanu in the ongoing trial are based on written laws, principal the Criminal Code Act and the Terrorism Prevention Amendment Act, both of which are written laws.
4. Is it true that Kanu does not know the law under which he was charged?
ANSWER: No, that is not true. Kanu knows the law and sections of the law under which the charges against him were brought. He became aware the moment they handed his charging documents and he read the charges against him. Each count of the charge states what he is alleged to have done wrong, the date and place where he did it and the law which declared his alleged actions to be a crime. Also, during his arraignment, the court official read out the charges to his hearing in open court and he was asked if he understood each charge and he answered Yes before pleading to each charge.
5. What offense exactly did the government of Nigeria accuse Nnamdi Kanu of committing?
ANSWER: The offenses the accused Kanu of committing fall into two groups. The first group is treasonable felony, which basically accuses Kanu of doing certain things with the intention and purpose of intimidating and threatening the officials of government with the purpose of forcing them to change policy – the secession of Biafra. The second group is the defamation of President Buhari. (This is the weakest of all the offences charged).
The third group relates to the terrorism offenses. Here is accused of incitement (the sit-at-home orders). These offenses are well-spelled out in the charging documents.
Analysis
Soludo re-election–his team was the best, but Hon. Mimiy Azikiwe fought like it was her election
By Ifeanyi Chijioke
(Congratulations to the entire Soludo team, both the remarkable and unremarkable, the reelection victory was achieved by the team and not solely the effort of one person)
Governor Chukwuma Soludo is back for another four years. Prior to the election, I said he is on track to making a name for himself.
Mr Peter Obi reignited the fire between him and Soludo after casting his vote, saying that he is not in same league with the candidates. We all know he was addressing Soludo, whom he is in strategic competition for Igbo presidency.
Soludo is solidly rooted and making giant strides, and by the time the result came out, it was clear he has no competition.
Taking a keen loot into Soludo’s journey to confirming his second tenure, one local government campaign manager caught my attention, Hon. Mimiy Azikiwe.
Even though Soludo’s performance, character and platform made the job easier for his campaign, complacency has proven in history to be dangerous.
Some APGA faithfuls were boasting before the election that Anambra is APGA state. Soludo’s power of incumbency will win him the election. Arthur Eze supported his reelection. He held meeting with Tinubu and like narratives, but what they didn’t know was hard work is needed to complement everything Soludo had.
We saw how complacency led to the demise of PDP. A victor must continue to see himself as a competitor to be able to stay a victor. Any time one rests on his laurels, he loses his spot.
It was always clear that the people must be mobilised to come out and vote. Even if votes would be bought, the opposition had that capacity, so it would boil down to convincing power.
When Mimiy Ifeoma Azikiwe was social media platforms and news platforms speaking and convincing voters to vote for Soludo, she appealed to electorates in all the local governments of the state, and not only Onitsha North.
She knew maximum effort was needed to ensure victory, and she forgot the advantages Soludo had, believing it was an equal playing ground, and that mentality made sure unimaginable landslide victory was achieved.
She stayed focused, wrote different pieces about Soludo. She didn’t rode on high horse like other honorable members, rather, she was down to earth and writing, speaking and promoting like ordinary party member. She worked assiduously like Soludo’s chance rested on spirited campaign.
I read a piece she wrote about how Soludo barely sleeps to make sure everything works out fine for Anambra State, I think that was one thing she has learned from her “Oga”. She didn’t sleep until Soludo’s reelection was confirmed by INEC.
In Hon. Mimiy Ifeoma Azikiwe, I saw a woman blended in loyalty and reciprocate. I saw a woman who is ready to give back in ten folds any favor, vote or support given to her.
During the build to the governorship election, I had a brief discussion with her, and to my greatest surprise, I saw the same emotion, aura and unsettling state she was in during her House of Assembly election build up.
She said everything about her must wait until her “Oga” secures his reelection bid. No space for her personal life or business, she was just so focused on Soludo’s reelection. Quite obsessed to making sure her “Oga” is successful.
I took notice of this because I am observant. I always want to study people I believe in and assess them properly to avoid selling fraud to the people. Mimiy Ifeoma Azikiwe always pass the test with extinction.
During her House of Assembly election, she got the support she needed from the governor, and I saw her tireless push in support of Soludo as symbol of loyalty and commitment to giving back and forging ironclad alliance for a better future.
It’s always easy to have a political ally, but loyalty and remarkable commitment in a political ally is not everyday gift.
Hon. Mimiy Ifeoma Azikiwe has a political future and one thing is clear, she is an asset to her political allies and a character worthy of synergising with.
She will always give back to those who give her, because true colour of a man is shown in his character.
Mimiy will give back to the people of Onitsha North who voted for her. She would give back to those who support her financially. She would give back when given to, and her obsession with Soludo’s reelection is evidence of that fact.
She would make a remarkable political career where dividend of democracy will reach her people who entrusted her with position of political representation.
The people of Onitsha North can boast of having a shinning star, and her journey is just starting. The future is bright and the character is unique.
Congratulations to Mimiy Ifeoma Azikiwe for the reelection of her “Oga”. Now, she can take a breath of relief and rest, because she fought tirelessly like it was her own election.
Congratulations to the entire Soludo team, both the remarkable and unremarkable, the reelection victory was achieved by the team and not to solely the effort of one person.
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