America 2024 Presidential Election: Trump na di man we go beat — by Bisi Olawunmi

U.S. presidential election, di campaign don reach high level, as di two candidates, Vice-President Kamala Harris (Democrat) and former president, Donald Trump (Republican) dey run neck-and-neck to di finish line.

Di final national New York Times/Siena poll, wey dem publish on 25 October 2024, show say di two candidates dey tie for 48% to 48% for di popular vote.

Aggregate of national polls still dey show say di election go tight, wit di two candidates dey tied for 48%, make am be like cliff-hanger.

Both candidates don carry di electoral fight go di battleground states wey dey change dem voting pattern between di two parties; states wey dem votes fit swing di election eidir way sha.

About 10 out of di 50 states for America dey considered swing states, dem dey account for total 91 electoral college votes.

Michigan 15, Wisconsin 10, Pennsylvania 19, Georgia 16, North Carolina 16, Nevada 6, and Arizona 11 – and dis fit determine di race.

For 2008, former President Barack Obama win for eight of di states, Trump carry Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania for 2016 to take di presidency.

For di 2020 election, Joe Biden no only carry back di three states but him also collect Arizona and Georgia from Trump, as e dey go Di White House.

Two major issues don dominate di 2024 presidential election campaign.

Di economy and immigration, wit issues of abortion, Lesbian-Gay-Bisexual-Transgender (LGBT) and foreign policy dey take second place.

Di economy, under di Biden-Harris administration don experience high inflation rate and di higher cost of living wey everybody dey feel.

Trump dey highlight di beta economy wey him administration bring before COVID-19 come, di global pandemic wey scatter di world economy.

Trump get plan to use tariff for imports to raise money and to protect local industries.

Trump dey support to tax di rich to generate money but she no go mind plenty imports.

Even though e go affect di U.S. economy, na wetin show di Democrats’ “Fada Christmas” way wey dem dey use to make America liberal market for imports.

For immigration mata, Trump no dey against legal migration, but him promise say him go stop di plenty illegal immigrants wey dey come from South America for him southern border and deport illegal immigrants.

Him talk say illegal immigrants dey spoil American way of life and dey take American pipo job.

Some pipo dey call am say na racist agenda, but di plan dey go down well wit Trump supporters.

Democrats dey liberal for immigration and no dey committed to forcefully remove illegal immigrants, and dis stand dey make Democrats get 65% of Latino votes for southern U.S. States.

Abortion and LGBT mata no be just electoral mata but na national mata wey don deeply divide America to di point say die-hard conservatives don fire-bomb abortion clinics and don launch deadly attacks on gay and lesbian gathering.

Trump no gree for LGBT pipo dem and make everybody fit do abortion anyhow.

Democrats, especially Kamala Harris, dey celebrate LGBTs, wit Harris dey talk say dem suppose fit show di sexual preference.

She be follower of Barack Obama, wey be evangelist for Gays and Lesbians, wey don threaten African countries wey pass anti-Gay law wit sanctions.

Na wah for all dis mata. Di Democratic candidate wey dey talk plenty for LGBT go fit affect di votes.

Foreign policy fit no dey hot for election mata, but e don begin enta American pipo mind wit Israel war wey dey kill plenty pipo for Hamas for Gaza.

Afta di Palestinian group enta Israel for October 7, 2023, wey make about 1,200 Israelis die and over 200 pipo wey dem carry go hold hostage.

But, Israeli military don kill over 40,000 Palestinians for di latest one-year fight wit Hamas, wey don cause plenty anger and protest for America.

Especially for university campuses, against Israel and di Biden-Harris administration wey no wan pressure Israel to agree for ceasefire.

Vice President Harris dey risk loss of votes bicos of dis, especially for di important swing state of Michigan wey get about 200,000 Arab American population.

For Europe, while Trump dey see di Russia-Ukraine war wey start for 2022 as something wey fit avoid and him don promise to solve am.

If him win, di Biden-Harris government dey lean towards continuing di conflict recently promise extra $US20 billion military package to di troubled President Volodymyr Zelensky of Ukraine.

Dis one dey go against di new American feeling wey no want avoidable war and di cost wey e dey put for di country tax.

Di anti-war voters go be loss for Harris. Dis small-small loss of votes for Kamala fit turn big for tight election wey razor-thin vote margins fit carry victory away.

For example, for 2008, Senator Barack Obama (Democrat) beat him Republican presidential opponent John McCain for Arizona state wit just 3,903 votes out of 2,887,725.

Trump and Voter Turnout Increase

Trump wey enta presidential election for 2016 as pesin wey no dey follow di normal way, against di correct way wey professional politicians dey follow, really shake di political Establishment, and e make di pipo wey go vote dey feel am.

For dat presidential race dat year, wey e dey face former U.S. Secretary of State, Hillary Clinton, voter turnout na 136,787,187 (59.2%) compare to 129,139,997 (58.0%) for 2012, wey be increase of 7.6 million voters.

By 2020 election wey carry President Trump go face former Vice President Joe Biden.

Di mata don high pass and na so di voter turnout don increase, as e reach 158,429,631 voters (66.8%), wey be record increase of 21.6 million voters over 2016 and di turnout fit even high pass for 2024.

Di Big Bucks Factor 

Top billionaires, Bill Gates, Warren Buffett and Elon Musk don enta di presidential contest.

Gates and Buffett na one time di richest men for di world while Musk dey hold dat title now.

Bill Gates don donate $US50 million to one pro-Harris non-profit organisation while Buffett wey don support Presidents Barrack Obama and Joe Biden don decide say dis time e no go support any candidate, wey mean say e no dey support Kamala Harris.

For him side, Musk don follow donate $75 million to support one Political Action Committee (PAC) wey dey try make pipo vote for Trump, especially for di swing states.

E don dey actively engage for political election campaigns wit di Republican candidate.

Harris Lose Big Media Endorsement 

Contrary to wetin don turn to wahala for media wey dey endorse presidential candidates, owners of big newspapers don stop planned endorsements for Harris for dis election cycle.

Dis newspapers include Di Washington Post, Di Los Angeles Times, USA Today, America’s biggest newspaper chain, Di Chicago Tribune and Minnesota Star Tribune.

Gannett, wey be owners of USA Today, wen dem announce say dem no go endorse Harris again, dem talk say:

“Our public service na to give readers facts wey mata and di kind information wey dem fit trust wey dem need to dey make informed decisions.”

For decades, American media don dey do anyhow, wey don violate media code of ethics wey dey demand fairness, accuracy and non-partisanship for media content.

Prognosis 

Kamala Harris bring sunshine charm, infectious laughter and plenty energy wey no fit hold down for di 2024 American presidential election campaigns, wey almost shake Trump, and give her small momentum.

But, dat momentum don start to dey fade. Di fact say former President Obama gatz complain say Black American men no dey show enough enthusiasm for Harris’s presidential bid mean.

Harris fit no get di big Black American block vote of 87% wey dem give Democratic presidential candidate Biden for di 2020 election, and dis suppose worry Harris’ camp.

Her strong support for gays and lesbians go be anodir big loss for votes.

Also, during di campaign, Harris no fit defend di administration’s performance record for di economy well, but she go radir talk wetin she go do if she win.

So, her biggest wahala na di national economy wey dey suffer and still dey worry di pipo wey go dey think to vote for change for new economic direction.

Di signs no too good for Kamala Harris.  As for Trump, he dey face serious battle as America’s Political Establishment Democrats and Republicans dey join hand against him for re-election.

Former Republican Vice President, Dick Cheney, and him daughter, former Congress woman, Liz Cheney, dey lead di anti-Trump group.

Trump’s rough and wetin pipo dey see as crude manner go turn pipo off from voting for am.

At di end, di bad state of di inflation-wracked economy under di Biden-Harris administration and di strong grassroots mobilization wey dey push pipo to vote fit change di presidential election outcome to Trump’s side and make am di pesin wey everybody wan beat.

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